Bitcoin’s recent dip has pushed its RSI down to 22.49, placing the asset in deeply oversold territory. Combined with its approach to lower Bollinger Band support, the technical landscape suggests a possible strong rebound toward the $95,000–$100,000 range within the coming weeks, even though short-term risks remain.
BTC Price Projection: Signs of a December Recovery
Forecast Snapshot
- Short-term target (1 week): $88,000–$90,000 (+4% to +7%)
- 1-month forecast: $95,000–$100,000
- Key resistance: $90,000
- Critical support: $80,600
Recent Analyst Expectations
Market analysts remain divided. Some expect a short-term slide toward the low $80,000s, while others anticipate a strong recovery.
A number of industry models show bearish short-term pressure but still point to bullish long-term potential, with some analysts projecting six-figure prices within the next year. Others take a more cautious stance, suggesting that Bitcoin may struggle to hold above $90,000 by the end of 2025.
One notable viewpoint highlights Bitcoin entering a “value zone,” a range that historically precedes sharp upward reversals. Overall, while sentiment is mixed, many experts agree that oversold indicators are increasing the probability of a recovery phase.
Technical Analysis: Oversold Conditions Growing Stronger
Current technical signals make a strong case for an upcoming bounce:
- RSI at 22.49: Deep oversold territory often seen near major market bottoms. Past data shows that RSI drops below 25 have typically resulted in sizable upward moves.
- MACD histogram at -1290.35: Bearish momentum remains, but the divergence between momentum and RSI suggests selling pressure may be weakening.
- Bollinger Bands: Bitcoin is hugging the lower band near $83,870, a classic mean-reversion setup toward the middle band around $97,571.
- Trading volume at $2.27B (24h): Liquidity remains strong enough to fuel a significant rebound.
- ATR at $4,396: Volatility remains elevated, implying strong movement in either direction.
These indicators collectively point toward a probable relief rally.
Price Scenarios: Bullish vs. Bearish
Bullish Scenario
If Bitcoin holds current support and builds momentum, a move toward $95,000–$100,000 over the next 4–6 weeks becomes likely.
This scenario depends on:
- A firm break above $90,000, a key resistance and psychological barrier
- Reclaiming the 20-day SMA near $97,500, confirming trend reversal
- Short-covering and renewed institutional interest
A typical oversold rebound of 15–25% from current RSI levels also places BTC comfortably near the $97,000 zone.
Bearish Scenario
If Bitcoin fails to hold $80,600, the market could slide toward $76,000–$78,000, invalidating the bullish rebound setup.
Risks include:
- Regulatory uncertainty
- Macroeconomic pressure on risk assets
- Continued withdrawals from institutional crypto products
A break below $80,600 would point to deeper weakness and possibly retesting yearly lows.
Should You Buy Bitcoin Now? Entry Strategy
A staggered entry is the most balanced approach under current volatility.
For aggressive traders:
- Consider small entries around $83,000–$84,000
- Stop-loss below $80,000
For conservative traders:
- Wait for a confirmed move above $88,000–$90,000
- This would signal early strength and potential trend reversal
Position sizing should remain cautious due to conflicting market signals.
Conclusion: Rebound Likely, but Key Support Must Hold
Technical indicators strongly support the possibility of Bitcoin climbing toward $95,000–$100,000 by December 2025. Oversold RSI readings, Bollinger Band positioning, and historical patterns all favor a recovery phase.
However, $80,600 remains the critical level to protect. A breakdown below this range would challenge the bullish thesis and open the door to further downside.
The next 1–2 weeks should reveal whether Bitcoin begins the expected rebound or continues to weaken. Monitoring volume, RSI divergence, and the $90,000 resistance zone will be essential for confirming direction.
